Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.173411 0.194902 0.217399 0.242650 0.270146 0.299124 0.331914
2025-02-23 0.149736 0.179628 0.212472 0.251046 0.294910 0.343038 0.399632
2025-03-02 0.126627 0.161096 0.200637 0.248940 0.305925 0.370578 0.449022
2025-03-09 0.109924 0.147532 0.192377 0.249092 0.318159 0.398779 0.499183
2025-03-16 0.095830 0.135275 0.184041 0.247701 0.327472 0.422955 0.544615
2025-03-23 0.087174 0.128740 0.181799 0.252999 0.344427 0.456214 0.601386
2025-03-30 0.077845 0.120238 0.176078 0.253041 0.354200 0.480387 0.647197
2025-04-06 0.069773 0.112546 0.170610 0.252675 0.362909 0.502971 0.691143
2025-04-13 0.062803 0.105660 0.165544 0.252226 0.371053 0.524629 0.734044
2025-04-20 0.057547 0.100717 0.162682 0.254357 0.382364 0.550354 0.782472
2025-04-27 0.054252 0.098374 0.163236 0.261057 0.399849 0.584411 0.842326
2025-05-04 0.049965 0.094067 0.160548 0.262831 0.410361 0.609202 0.890274
2025-05-11 0.046358 0.090688 0.159235 0.266822 0.424554 0.639973 0.947907
2025-05-18 0.044296 0.089652 0.161369 0.275903 0.446195 0.681411 1.020855
2025-05-25 0.039873 0.084181 0.156196 0.273657 0.451281 0.699962 1.062918
2025-06-01 0.036418 0.080039 0.152800 0.273832 0.459733 0.723238 1.111800
2025-06-08 0.032988 0.075582 0.148541 0.272340 0.465490 0.742657 1.155538
2025-06-15 0.031195 0.073980 0.148883 0.278050 0.482127 0.777871 1.221996
2025-06-22 0.028590 0.070545 0.145849 0.278096 0.490008 0.800485 1.270923
2025-06-29 0.026157 0.067187 0.142689 0.277703 0.497066 0.821909 1.318407
2025-07-06 0.023935 0.064010 0.139609 0.277221 0.503847 0.842934 1.365562
2025-07-13 0.022296 0.061877 0.138250 0.279516 0.514986 0.870559 1.422664
2025-07-20 0.021428 0.061326 0.139755 0.286729 0.534121 0.910473 1.498322